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Article Archive For Bob Kargenian, C.M.T.

  • The Stock Market and Seasonality by Bob Kargenian, C.M.T.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Stock Market and Seasonality by Bob Kargenian, C.M.T. Is there a message that can be gleaned from the performance of the stock market during the 1996 election year? There may be. In 1990, this writer discussed the seasonal movement of the stock market. Here, he updates that work with further research, looking at market activity during the election year. Is there a message that can be conveyed from the stock market's performance during the 1996 election year? There may be -- if you believe in the seasonal and cyclical nature of the market. While not implying that past performance indicate...

  • The 4% Model: Using The Value Line Composite by Bob Kargenian, C.M.T.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The 4% Model: Using The Value Line Composite by Bob Kargenian, C.M.T. Looking for an indicator that doesn't predict huge booms or busts, but tells you what the safest course of action is? Here it is. For this model, all you need is the Value Line Index. It's simple, but it works. Here's how. Originally, the 4% model was developed by Ned Davis of Ned Davis Research fame as a method with which to follow the trend of the stock market. Simply, a buy signal is given when the weekly close of the Value Line Index rises 4% or more from any weekly close; a sell signal is given when the weekly close d...

  • 'Tis The Season by Bob Kargenian

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...'Tis The Season by Bob Kargenian The seasonal tendencies of the stock market have been the subject of extensive research. The likes of Yale Hirsch, Arthur A. Merrill, Martin Zweig and Norman Fosback -- all noted technical analysts -- have explored this topic, and most have conducted ongoing studies. My interest lies in what has happened to seasonal tendencies since the advent of stock-index futures and whether they can still be profitably exploited by investors and traders. Essentially, there are six types of seasonal tendencies -- days of the week; months; month-end; holidays; the Presidential...






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