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Article Archive For Ben Warwick

  • Event Trading in the Bond Market by Ben Warwick

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Event Trading In The Bond Market by Ben Warwick The financial markets frequently react with large price movements after the government and private agencies release their economic reports. Are there any reliable patterns to the way a market reacts to the news? One money manager decided to find out, and here, he shows how monitoring the reaction to those reports can be a profitable endeavor. Markets are driven by the fundamentals. Stock traders look at earnings reports and commodity traders look at crop estimates. Bond market participants track economic reports, issued by government and privat...

  • The Joy Of Trading with Statistics by Ben Warwick

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Joy Of Trading with Statistics by Ben Warwick For many of you who have traded in the past, the title of this article may take you by surprise. How can trading be work of joy? Only when you are winning, obviously, but there's more to it than that. Systematic trading can be a joy if you are convinced that your decisions are based on favorable probabilities. Let me focus on the three most often used methods in my mathematical arsenal -- the Kruskal-Wallis test, the Sharpe ratio, and optimum trade size analysis. The Kruskal-Wallis (K-W) test is a statistical method dating from the 1950s. Alth...

  • The End-Of-The-Month Effect by Ben Warwick

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The End-Of-The-Month Effect by Ben Warwick Back-testing has radically changed the way traders view the markets. Although no one has yet found the Holy Grail of trading, the ultimate goal remains the same: to create a system that consistently yields profits with a reasonable amount of risk. Alternatively, a portfolio of trades can be developed using technical, fundamental and seasonal factors. One such strategy is the end-of-month (EOM) trade. Studying the EOM effect, mentioned by Martin Zweig as well as others, suggests that the majority of the stock market's gains are generated during speci...

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