Charting | JUN 2004
Does Volume Matter? by Thomas N. Bulkowski
V. 22:6 (18-22): Does Volume Matter? by Thomas N. Bulkowski If a chart pattern breaks out on high volume, is it a blessing or a curse? Recently, I was reading some reviews on Amazon.com for a book on technical analysis, and one reader comment that stuck in my mind was that the author didn’t discuss volume. Maybe it’s because volume isn’t important, I thought. In my daily routine, I rarely look at volume unless I’m considering a trade. Otherwise, it doesn’t even appear on my screen. But how important is volume? Does a high-volume breakout really suggest a better-performing pattern? Does a receding volume trend over the lifetime of the pattern suggest better post-breakout performance? I decided to find answers to these questions. MEASURING BREAKOUT VOLUME How do you measure volume? An exceptionally high daily volume in a sparsely traded stock might be less than an hour’s worth in an actively traded stock. So stock-to-stock comparisons would be worthless. To measure volume, I chose the volume average for each stock. I computed the average volume for the three months before the breakout and assigned two categories to the breakout volume: above-average volume (more than twice the average) or low volume (average or below average). Then I looked at chart patterns and mapped the volume with performance.
by Thomas Bulkowski
Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES
The Traders’ Magazine since 1982
has had over 1,226,237 subscribers from 174 different countries.
37,000 Page Traders’ Archive for $89.99
To continue reading, sign-up for trial access to Traders.com and the S&C Archive — 37,000 pages of trading ideas!
After verifying your email address, you will have limited access to the S&C Archive, as well as access to a Digital Edition of S&C, and access to Traders.com Advantage and Working Money for 30 days.
Not a subscriber to Technical Analysis of
STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine?
Click
here to subscribe, or request
a trial subscription.
Log-in now to view articles from the S&C Archive.
Your Subscriber ID is located at the top of your magazine label, highlighted here in red.
Your last name can be found on the second line, highlighted here in blue.
*If you have a company name on the label, that can also be used. It will appear below your name on the label.
If you do not have a Subscriber ID on your label, you can find it on your statement or renewal form.
For help locating your Subscriber ID number, please call us at 1-800-832-4642 or send an email to Survey@Traders.com. If sending an email, please include your name and mailing address.