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System Design  |  OCT 2002

Designing Volatility Breakout Systems by Paolo Pezzutti

Designing Volatility Breakout Systems by Paolo Pezzutti Interested in improving your system’s profit factor? Here are some suggestions. The principle of range expansion/contraction was first studied and analyzed by Toby Crabel in Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES. According to Crabel, the market oscillates between contractions and expansions. When the market moves between areas of equilibrium (the balance of supply and demand), it does so quickly through range expansion days. This forms the premise of volatility breakout systems. Since traders focus on these short-term range expansions rather than the longer-term trend, their goal should be to exploit some continuation of the movement after the entry price to lock in profits.

by Paolo Pezzutti

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