| JUN 1994
Gold And The Business Cycle by Martin J. Pring
Gold And The Business Cycle by Martin J. Pring Well-known market analyst Martin Pring takes a look at the relationship between the price of gold and the business cycle. Why do major swings in the price of gold occur? Over the years, many views have been put forward as to the causes of major swings in the price of gold. The news media consistently tries to link price movements of financial markets to news events. Indeed, it seems rational that market participants make decisions based on the latest-breaking news. In the case of gold, the assumption is often made that the fear factor is at work. An assassination attempt or an outbreak of hostilities or a similar development seems to be a logical justification for a rally. This is often true for a day or so, but not on a long-term basis. The importance of the news in question usually depends on whether the gold price is in a primary bull or bear market. In 1979, for example, the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan was a positive influence on the price. At that time, gold was in a primary bull market and the invasion represented icing on the bullish cake. The invasion exacerbated a trend that was already in force. On the other hand, the war between Iran and Iraq, which broke out in 1981, should, in theory, have been a much more positive factor for gold in view of its implications for higher oil prices.As it turned out, it was not because gold was then in a primary bear market. In retrospect,the rallies that took place in response to the war turned out to be temporary interruptions in an ongoing declining trend.
by Martin J. Pring
Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES
The Traders’ Magazine since 1982
has had over 1,226,237 subscribers from 174 different countries.
37,000 Page Traders’ Archive for $89.99
To continue reading, sign-up for trial access to Traders.com and the S&C Archive — 37,000 pages of trading ideas!
After verifying your email address, you will have limited access to the S&C Archive, as well as access to a Digital Edition of S&C, and access to Traders.com Advantage and Working Money for 30 days.
Not a subscriber to Technical Analysis of
STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine?
Click
here to subscribe, or request
a trial subscription.
Log-in now to view articles from the S&C Archive.
Your Subscriber ID is located at the top of your magazine label, highlighted here in red.
Your last name can be found on the second line, highlighted here in blue.
*If you have a company name on the label, that can also be used. It will appear below your name on the label.
If you do not have a Subscriber ID on your label, you can find it on your statement or renewal form.
For help locating your Subscriber ID number, please call us at 1-800-832-4642 or send an email to Survey@Traders.com. If sending an email, please include your name and mailing address.