STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. The Traders' Magazine

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  |  MAR 1992

SIDEBAR: MATH MODEL FORMULAS

MATH MODEL FORMULAS My mathematical model of the stock market is based on fundamental economic parameters and has been modified slightly from the model described in the article ""Determining stock value from price and earnings."" The Standard & Poor's 500 is used to represent the market as a whole. The premise is that stock index prices are proportional to earnings divided by interest rate: ... The earnings in the model are the average earnings one year, or four quarters, ahead of the price of the S&P 500 and is expressed using the least-squares method by the following equation: ...

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