|  JUN 1991

Comparative Risk Transfer Method by Richard A. Harrison

Comparative Risk Transfer Method by Richard A. Harrison It would be nice to get the higher returns of a speculative investment like a managed futures fund, but they're just too risky."" Is that statement familiar? There is a method that allows an investor to move into these speculative investments with a limited predetermined risk. It also provides several advantages over the ""guaranteed"" futures funds. I call it comparative risk transfer, which provides greater liquidity and control for a very limited amount of risk during the initial phase of the program. ""GUARANTEED"" FUTURES FUNDS Several brokerage firms sell what they refer to as ""guaranteed"" futures funds, which are usually a combination of a managed futures fund and zero coupon bonds. The fund will be given some percentage of the capital (say, 40%) and the remaining capital (60%) goes into five-year zero coupon bonds. If the managed futures fund loses 50% of its portion (50% x 40% = 20% of total capital), then trading in the fund will be halted. The zero coupon bonds will continue to maturity and provide a 33% gain on their portion (33% x 60% = 20% of total capital), canceling the loss from the managed futures fund—thus the label ""guaranteed."" These ""guaranteed"" futures funds have advantages and disadvantages. The advantage is the opportunity of increased gain with a managed futures fund with no risk of losing any of the original capital. The disadvantage is that if the managed futures fund performs below the zero coupon rate of return, then the investors will make less than they would have with just the bonds. In addition, if the managed futures fund loses money, then the overall investment could very well perform below the rate of inflation — not to mention the money will be tied up for five years.

by Richard A. Harrison